Demand Expected to Grow
While she can only speculate, Kovner says she believes the trends in demand for nurses will grow stronger as the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act takes hold, and as providers move away from fee-for-service care and toward value-based care and population health.
"They will have an easier time getting a job," she says. "First of all there are the numbers of older nurses who are going to start retiring. We thought that was going to happen earlier than it did but again we think that with the recession people decided who might have retired decided not to retire."
"Beyond that the opportunities for nursing are going to be humongous. Accountable care organizations, helping people manage chronic care, working in walk-in or outpatient departments; a lot of organizations are still thinking through how best to use the registered nurse. There are a lot of opportunities and even lot what nurse practitioners do registered nurses can do."
"There is going to be a demand for care coordination. You need to have skilled people doing that. It's not training someone who has a degree in English for how to make a list of what all the services are. You really need a skilled medical professional to make the judgment and the problem solving involved in that. We will see how it plays out."