"It's not surprising that the majority [of respondents] expect this to have a negative impact," said Randy Waring, managing director, for GE Capital, Healthcare Financial Services. "There's still a lot of uncertainly around the implementation of healthcare legislation. Plus there is the weak economy and the prospect of cuts in Medicare and Medicaid… [all of these] are cause for genuine concern."
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Interestingly, the GE Capital survey findings from its Q1 2011 survey nearly mirror the results gathered in the HealthLeaders 2010 Industry Survey (taken earlier in October 2010), in which nearly 60% of CFOs polled said that the financial position of their organization was being weakened by healthcare reform. The pessimism, however, isn't pervasive; many financial leaders also believe the future is looking up, according to both surveys. And another economic survey backs CFOs up on that assertion.
In May, Standard and Poor's Healthcare Economic Indices released data showing:
The rate of growth in healthcare inflation has been steadily decelerating since it hit a high of 8.74% for the 12-month period ending May 2010. S&P analysts note that hospital employment growth has correspondingly slowed significantly, falling from 2%-3% increases between 2008 and early 2009, to 1% since the middle of 2009. S&P analysts believe that slowing rate of inflation in healthcare is also tied to high unemployment in the overall economy, but they also warn that the slowing trend could quickly reverse.